Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Osamu Nakamura
Author-Name-First: Osamu
Author-Name-Last: Nakamura
Author-Email: osamu@iuj.ac.jp
Author-Workplace-Name: International University of University
Author-Workplace-Homepage: http://www.iuj.ac.jp/
Title: Perspective for the Vietnamese Economy in the Context of Asia and the Paci c: An econometric analysis with a global macro econometric model
Abstract: Within the transition period to a market oriented economy, Vietnam attracts foreign capitals to strengthen the supply-side economy. Especially, FDI plays a very important role to be achieving an export-led growth and contributes to the steady economic growth at 6-8% per annum. According to the scenario forecasts by means of the global model system, it is expected that the Vietnamese economy is likely to experience a high growth achieving a take-off stage with an export-led growth in the strong economic growth in Asia. It is noteworthy that the Vietnamese macro imbalances including I-S and trade imbalance, and so on, are also expected to be improved if FDI will be increasing.
Classification-JEL: C53, E17, F47
Length: 26 pages
Creation-Date: 2010-11
Number: EMS_2010_13
File-URL: https://www.iuj.ac.jp/workingpapers/index.cfm?File=EMS_2010_13.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: First version, 2010
File-Size: 324KB
Keywords: FDI, take-off stage, macro-econometric model, scenario forecast
Handle: RePEc:iuj:wpaper:EMS_2010_13